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April Hogs, What To Look For From A 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement.![]() Lean Hogs The chart below is key to this analysis. April The high on 2/22/24 traded up through a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement at 87.25, but closed back below it. This is a key retracement, as it can cause wide swings when a turn comes from it. Here is the short version of the ONE44 78.6% rule,
We also have a Video explaining more about it HERE. This is the Lean Hogs Update we put out last week, all of the levels mentioned are still valid. 2/22/24 Lean Hogs
From two weeks ago,
After getting only one minor close below 38.2% at 80.70 it has gone on to new highs as would be expected with a 38.2% retracement (ONE44 38.2% Rule) We were watching the 78.6% (84.50) level to see if there was going to be a failure to make a new high at this level, but it blew through that. It stayed above last week's swing point of 84.50 and today closed right at 78.6% at 87.25. Use 87.25 as the swing point for the week. Above it, the long term target is 61.8% based on the continuation chart at 97.00. The short term target is the next major Gann square at 90.30. Below it, provided it stays below 87.25, the long term target would be 78.6% the other way, currently at 75.60. The short term target is 38.2% at the rally at 82.35. Any setback that can't get below 23.6% at 84.80 keeps the trend extremely positive. ![]() ONE44 Analytics where the analysis is concise and to the point Our goal is to not only give you actionable information, but to help you understand why we think this is happening based on pure price analysis with Fibonacci retracements, that we believe are the underlying structure of all markets and Gann squares. If you like this type of analysis and trade the Grain/Livestock futures you can become a Premium Member. You can also follow us on YouTube for more examples of how to use the Fibonacci retracements with the ONE44 rules and guidelines. Sign up for our Free newsletter here. FULL RISK DISCLOSURE: Futures trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Commission Rule 4.41(b)(1)(I) hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. On the date of publication, Nick Ehrenberg did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here. |
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